Prediction Agents

Quotient builds prediction agents that find mispriced markets.

We start with geopolitics. Q is our first agent — it analyzes 600+ prediction markets, finds where the odds are wrong, and publishes sourced reasoning for every call.

Q is live. More agents coming.

Meet Q →
How It Works

Q processes 1,600+ ranked sources daily. Verified human forecasters with public track records sharpen every call. Every forecast is sourced — when Q is wrong, the failure is traceable. When it's right, the reasoning is citable. Resolved outcomes feed back into the model. Accuracy compounds.

Sourced evidence
Every claim links to ranked primary sources.
Human calibration
Verified forecasters with public track records.
Continuous improvement
Every resolved outcome refines the model.
About Quotient

Judgment creates enormous value. There's no infrastructure for proving it. People with real expertise make critical calls every day — there's no way to verify who's actually good, scale what they know, or build a business around it. Quotient is that infrastructure. We start with prediction markets because they generate questions with verifiable outcomes. But the thesis is broader: any domain where judgment matters and outcomes are measurable.

Founded by Jordan, Cameron, Matthew, Shira, and Kasra. Based in Austin and New York.

See what Q is calling right now.

Go to Q →