Find your edge with Q.

Forecast intelligence for prediction markets and perpetual futures.

View track record → +29.5%paper · closed signals

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From question to thesis

What does Q think about “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?”
Q ANSWERED42 citations
research
base rates
scenario analysis
synthesis

Q thinks it is highly unlikely that the seven-day moving average required by the market rules will reach 60 vessel arrivals by May 31. Traffic was around 11 arrivals a day when Q published the forecast, and uncleared mines, an unsigned agreement, and insurance delays made the sustained increase implausible.

Impacted assets

WTI-OILLONGShipping constraints support crude prices.
GOLDLONGAn uncertain normalization path supports safe-haven demand.
UALSHORTHigher fuel and routing costs pressure airlines.

Q doesn’t just prompt a model.

Research, scenarios, probabilities — and a score on every resolved forecast.

  1. 01 Classify the question Resolution rule, horizon, and question type.
  2. 02 Map the landscape Actors, assets, linked markets, and related questions.
  3. 03 Research the evidence Check the sources behind each claim.
  4. 04 Build scenarios Base rates, pathways, dependencies, and disconfirming evidence.
  5. 05 Produce the forecast A calibrated probability with uncertainty and cited analysis.
6,000+sources
1,000+experts
500+forecasts/day
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Signals

Terminal for accessing curated signals for prediction markets and perpetual futures.

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Console

For agents, developers, funds, and trading interfaces.

$ npm install --global quotient-forecasting@latest
$ quotient setup
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