Get ahead of the headlines

Forecast-driven intelligence for trading.

Q beats Polymarket on 57.2% of markets Q had the lower average Brier score in 375 of 656 covered, resolved Polymarket markets. Forecasts from the last 60 days, with each market counted once. Updated September 9, 2026.

Trade with Q

Find mispriced markets and trading opportunities.

Avg paper return per signal Event outcome ·— Closed Event outcome paper positions · Hold to resolution Open Signals

Build with Q

Add forecasts, market intelligence, and research to your agent or application.

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From question to thesis

What does Q think about “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?”
Q ANSWERED42 citations
research
base rates
scenario analysis
synthesis

Q thinks it is highly unlikely that the seven-day moving average required by the market rules will reach 60 vessel arrivals by May 31. Traffic was around 11 arrivals a day when Q published the forecast, and uncleared mines, an unsigned agreement, and insurance delays made the sustained increase implausible.

Impacted assets

WTI-OILLONGShipping constraints support crude prices.
GOLDLONGAn uncertain normalization path supports safe-haven demand.
UALSHORTHigher fuel and routing costs pressure airlines.

Q doesn’t just prompt a model.

Research, scenarios, probabilities — and a score on every resolved forecast.

  1. 01 Classify the question Resolution rule, horizon, and question type.
  2. 02 Map the landscape Actors, assets, linked markets, and related questions.
  3. 03 Research the evidence Check the sources behind each claim.
  4. 04 Build scenarios Base rates, pathways, dependencies, and disconfirming evidence.
  5. 05 Produce the forecast A calibrated probability with uncertainty and cited analysis.
6,000+sources
1,000+experts
500+forecasts/day
Reuters Bloomberg The New York Times Financial Times Politico
How Q works →

Who builds on Q

Individual traders

discover and diligence trades

Funds & vault operators

develop strategies

Venues & trading interfaces

serve trusted analysis to your users

Developers

build engaging experiences without spending on inference or data pipelines

Use Q your way

Signals

Terminal for accessing curated signals for prediction markets and perpetual futures.

Avg paper return per signal Event outcome ·— Closed Event outcome paper positions · Hold to resolution Open Signals

Console

For agents, developers, funds, and trading interfaces.

$ npm install --global quotient-forecasting@latest
$ quotient setup
Open Console