Find your edge with Q.

The intelligence platform for forecast-driven trading.

Open the playground
A crystal ball drawn in ink, chartreuse, and orange-red signal strokes

What is Q?

It turns any question into a calibrated probability.

  1. 01Classify the questionResolution rule, horizon, and question type.
  2. 02Map the landscapeActors, assets, linked markets, and related questions.
  3. 03Research the evidenceCheck the sources behind each claim.
  4. 04Build scenariosBase rates, pathways, dependencies, and disconfirming evidence.
  5. 05Produce the forecastA calibrated probability with uncertainty and cited analysis.
How Q gets better over time

Score each outcome

Compare Q and the forecast-time market price with the resolved result.

Diagnose the error

Trace the evidence, expert weights, and missing inputs behind the miss.

Feed the next model

Turn repeatable findings into fine-tuning and data changes.

Resolve · score · fine-tune · forecast again

When a forecast becomes a Signal, Q makes forecasts actionable.

Q curates markets where it sees a large spread and short-term catalysts that it believes will move the market in its direction.

  1. 500forecasts / day
  2. 100spread > 10pp
  3. 50meaningful liquidity
  4. 10resolve within a week
A featured resolved Signal is temporarily unavailable.

The markets that matter

500+markets forecast every dayOn demand · request a forecast on any question through the API

Prediction markets

KalshiPolymarketPolymarket USUSLimitless

Perps

HyperliquidxyzPolymarket PerpsPerps
AppleAAPLGoldGOLDWTI crudeWTIBitcoinBTCEthereumETH

Assets covered with linked market intelligence

Sourcing

Publications

6,000+sources reviewed
ReutersBloombergThe New York TimesFinancial TimesThe GuardianPoliticoRANDAFPCENTCOMWindwardIHS MarkitTasnim NewsMeduza

Experts

1,000+tracked and scored
Nate SilverElectionsAmrita SenOilClaudia SahmMacroDylan PatelAI & chipsGregory BrewEnergy & geopoliticsChris MillerSemiconductors
Explore the Expert Index

Start where Q left off

Begin with the research

Q has already researched and organized the sources behind the market.

Start from a priced view

Use Q’s fair price instead of repeating the crawl and inference.

Check your conviction

Use Q as a low-cost second opinion before you size up.

Install Quotient

Who builds on Q

Individual traders

discover and diligence trades

Funds & vault operators

develop strategies

Venues & trading interfaces

serve trusted analysis to your users

Developers

build engaging experiences without having to spend on inference or data pipelines

Use Q with your agent

Query Q forecasts, published Signals, market prices, and cited research. MCP is included and optional.

API and agent docs