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Q, our forecasting platform, analyzes global events to help you get ahead of consensus and capitalize on what happens next.

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PolymarketExample · published Jun 18

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Q → YES7-DAY SIGNAL

Q FAIR PRICE

84¢

MARKET

69¢

SPREAD

15¢

80¢70¢60¢

Mispricing identified · Jun 18

Spread 15¢

Q84¢MARKET69¢

The market priced YES 15¢ below Q's fair price.

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Latest reportJuly 1, 2026Regulation · Prediction Markets

What US regulationwould mean forprediction markets

We read all 879 active Polymarket geopolitics markets against the CFTC's proposed rule. Most would be listable. Most of the volume would not.

Finding

$331M of volume would be hard to list

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Quotient evaluated 541 predictions from 126 experts to see who added real signal before the outcome was known.

Credentials did not predict signal

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