QuotientThe signals and key factors behind every prediction market — surfaced by AI, grounded in evidence.
IRGC expanded naval exercises near strait approaches
Reuters · Defense & Military · Feb 14
Tanker war-risk insurance premiums rose 40% year-over-year
Lloyd's List · Market Data · Feb 12
US repositioned carrier strike group to Gulf of Oman
AP News · Defense & Military · Feb 10
Oman-mediated diplomatic back-channel reported active
Reuters · Diplomacy · Feb 8
Bottom line: Market is likely underpriced. Elevated military posturing and rising insurance costs suggest markets are underweighting near-term escalation risk, partially offset by active diplomatic channels.
Every day, Q processes thousands of signals — news, economic data, filings, expert analysis — across hundreds of prediction markets.
Identifies what’s driving each market. Key factors, directional signals, and a forecast grounded in evidence.
Forecasters publish takes, build verifiable track records, and get recognized before consensus forms.
