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Latest reportJuly 1, 2026Regulation · Prediction Markets

What US regulationwould mean forprediction markets

We read all 879 active Polymarket geopolitics markets against the CFTC's proposed rule. Most would be listable. Most of the volume would not.

Finding

$331M of volume would be hard to list

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Expert Index · Iran

Whose Iran Calls Held Up?

Quotient evaluated 541 predictions from 126 experts to see who added real signal before the outcome was known.

Credentials did not predict signal

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