← Thesis
Signal performance
Every published Signal on a resolved market, measured with the Hold 7 days paper strategy.
Average paper return+3.6%1,133 measurable resolved positions
Win rate+63.1%Share of measurable resolved positions above entry
Resolved positions1,137+$4,039 total paper P/L
Resolved positions
Updated Sep 25, 2026| Published | Signal | Side | Entry | Exit | Paper return | Paper exit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Will Linke win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes? | YES | 50¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | NO | 70¢ | — | — | — |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | NO | 70¢ | 100¢ | +42.9% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | YES | 66¢ | 100¢ | +51.5% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | YES | 40¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | NO | 70¢ | 100¢ | +42.9% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | YES | 64¢ | 100¢ | +56.3% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | NO | 76¢ | 100¢ | +31.6% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 76¢ | 100¢ | +31.6% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | NO | 39¢ | — | — | — |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Will Linke win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes? | YES | 63¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | NO | 70¢ | 100¢ | +42.9% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | YES | 66¢ | 100¢ | +51.5% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes? | NO | 73¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 44¢ | 100¢ | +127.3% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? | YES | 82¢ | 100¢ | +22.0% | Resolution · Sep 22, 2026 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | YES | 29¢ | 1¢ | −98.3% | Day 7 · Sep 25, 2026 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | YES | 66¢ | 100¢ | +51.5% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 62¢ | 100¢ | +61.3% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 60¢ | 100¢ | +66.7% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | NO | 62¢ | 100¢ | +61.3% | Resolution · Sep 20, 2026 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | NO | 58¢ | 100¢ | +72.4% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes? | NO | 81¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | YES | 62¢ | 100¢ | +61.3% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 76¢ | 100¢ | +31.6% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | NO | 76¢ | 100¢ | +31.6% | Resolution · Sep 20, 2026 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | NO | 72¢ | 100¢ | +38.9% | Resolution · Sep 20, 2026 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 74¢ | 100¢ | +35.1% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 78¢ | 100¢ | +28.2% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | NO | 72¢ | 100¢ | +38.9% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | NO | 77¢ | 100¢ | +29.9% | Resolution · Sep 20, 2026 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? | YES | 81¢ | 100¢ | +23.5% | Resolution · Sep 22, 2026 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | YES | 68¢ | 100¢ | +47.1% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | YES | 68¢ | 100¢ | +47.1% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | NO | 78¢ | 100¢ | +28.2% | Resolution · Sep 20, 2026 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 78¢ | 100¢ | +28.2% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? | YES | 80¢ | 100¢ | +25.0% | Resolution · Sep 22, 2026 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes? | NO | 46¢ | 100¢ | +117.4% | Resolution · Sep 20, 2026 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | YES | 66¢ | 100¢ | +51.5% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? | YES | 80¢ | 100¢ | +25.0% | Resolution · Sep 22, 2026 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 78¢ | 100¢ | +28.2% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 84¢ | 100¢ | +19.0% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | NO | 84¢ | 100¢ | +19.0% | Resolution · Sep 20, 2026 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? | YES | 82¢ | 100¢ | +22.0% | Resolution · Sep 22, 2026 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | YES | 66¢ | 100¢ | +51.5% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting? | NO | 63¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 16, 2026 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | NO | 84¢ | 100¢ | +19.0% | Resolution · Sep 20, 2026 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 84¢ | 100¢ | +19.0% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | YES | 62¢ | 100¢ | +61.3% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 84¢ | 100¢ | +19.0% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | YES | 64¢ | 100¢ | +56.3% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | YES | 64¢ | 100¢ | +56.3% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting? | NO | 70¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 16, 2026 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Will Rhea Seehorn win Drama Actress at the Emmy Awards? | YES | 83¢ | 100¢ | +20.5% | Resolution · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 82¢ | 100¢ | +22.0% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026? | YES | 74¢ | 100¢ | +35.1% | Resolution · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? | YES | 80¢ | 94¢ | +17.5% | Day 7 · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 82¢ | 100¢ | +21.9% | Resolution · Sep 21, 2026 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | NO | 76¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 17, 2026 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | YES | 75¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 17, 2026 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Will Rhea Seehorn win Drama Actress at the Emmy Awards? | YES | 83¢ | 100¢ | +20.5% | Resolution · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 82¢ | 46¢ | −44.5% | Day 7 · Sep 20, 2026 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes? | NO | 76¢ | 100¢ | +31.6% | Resolution · Sep 17, 2026 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | YES | 78¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 17, 2026 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Will Rhea Seehorn win Drama Actress at the Emmy Awards? | YES | 83¢ | 100¢ | +20.5% | Resolution · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | YES | 76¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 17, 2026 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | NO | 76¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 17, 2026 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? | YES | 76¢ | 100¢ | +31.6% | Resolution · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes? | NO | 78¢ | 100¢ | +28.2% | Resolution · Sep 17, 2026 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 82¢ | 48¢ | −42.1% | Day 7 · Sep 19, 2026 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? | YES | 73¢ | 100¢ | +37.0% | Resolution · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? | YES | 74¢ | 77¢ | +4.1% | Day 7 · Sep 19, 2026 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | YES | 76¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 17, 2026 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | NO | 76¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 17, 2026 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes? | NO | 78¢ | 100¢ | +28.2% | Resolution · Sep 17, 2026 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | YES | 76¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 17, 2026 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | NO | 76¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 17, 2026 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina | YES | 56¢ | — | — | — |
| Sep 12, 2026 | US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton | NO | 54¢ | — | — | — |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | YES | 64¢ | 67¢ | +3.9% | Day 7 · Sep 18, 2026 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 80¢ | 44¢ | −45.6% | Day 7 · Sep 18, 2026 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | YES | 76¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 17, 2026 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | NO | 76¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 17, 2026 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting? | YES | 63¢ | 100¢ | +58.7% | Resolution · Sep 16, 2026 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | YES | 82¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 17, 2026 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026? | YES | 67¢ | 100¢ | +49.3% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | YES | 81¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 17, 2026 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | YES | 82¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 17, 2026 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | NO | 82¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 17, 2026 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes? | NO | 63¢ | 100¢ | +58.7% | Resolution · Sep 17, 2026 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in August 2026? | YES | 63¢ | 100¢ | +58.7% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026? | YES | 63¢ | 100¢ | +58.7% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting? | YES | 65¢ | 100¢ | +53.8% | Resolution · Sep 16, 2026 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 78¢ | 75¢ | −4.5% | Day 7 · Sep 17, 2026 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026? | YES | 61¢ | 100¢ | +63.9% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting? | YES | 66¢ | 100¢ | +51.5% | Resolution · Sep 16, 2026 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | YES | 75¢ | 100¢ | +33.3% | Resolution · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | YES | 65¢ | 100¢ | +53.8% | Resolution · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 74¢ | 93¢ | +25.7% | Day 7 · Sep 17, 2026 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026? | YES | 63¢ | 100¢ | +58.7% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 10, 2026? | YES | 66¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 10, 2026 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 10, 2026? | YES | 56¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 10, 2026 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 10, 2026? | YES | 50¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 10, 2026 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 11, 2026? | YES | 74¢ | 100¢ | +35.1% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 11, 2026? | YES | 66¢ | 100¢ | +51.5% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 11, 2026? | YES | 50¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 11, 2026? | YES | 62¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | YES | 60¢ | 100¢ | +66.7% | Resolution · Sep 10, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 10, 2026? | YES | 57¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 10, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Ethereum price at Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | YES | 76¢ | 100¢ | +31.6% | Resolution · Sep 10, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 11, 2026? | YES | 73¢ | 100¢ | +37.0% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 11, 2026? | YES | 65¢ | 100¢ | +53.8% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 11, 2026? | YES | 56¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 11, 2026? | YES | 48¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 11, 2026? | YES | 40¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | NO | 84¢ | 0¢ | −99.9% | Resolution · Sep 16, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | YES | 84¢ | 0¢ | −99.9% | Resolution · Sep 16, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 11, 2026? | YES | 76¢ | 100¢ | +31.6% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 11, 2026? | YES | 69¢ | 100¢ | +44.9% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | YES | 60¢ | 100¢ | +66.7% | Resolution · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | YES | 67¢ | 43¢ | −36.3% | Day 7 · Sep 16, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026? | YES | 50¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026? | YES | 24¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Ethereum price at Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | YES | 42¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Will David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence? | YES | 80¢ | 100¢ | +25.0% | Resolution · Sep 10, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Will the brent crude oil close price be above 99.50 USD/Bbl on September 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? | YES | 50¢ | 100¢ | +100.0% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of September 7 2026? | YES | 47¢ | 100¢ | +112.8% | Resolution · Sep 10, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 95.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 9, 2026? | NO | 26¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026? | YES | 76¢ | 100¢ | +31.6% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 11, 2026? | YES | 76¢ | 100¢ | +31.6% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 96.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 9, 2026? | NO | 52¢ | 100¢ | +92.3% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026? | YES | 72¢ | 100¢ | +38.9% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026? | YES | 62¢ | 100¢ | +61.3% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026? | YES | 52¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026? | YES | 39¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026? | YES | 30¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 11, 2026? | YES | 74¢ | 100¢ | +35.1% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 11, 2026? | YES | 65¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 11, 2026? | YES | 57¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 11, 2026? | YES | 50¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026? | YES | 61¢ | 100¢ | +63.9% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Ethereum price at Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | YES | 46¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting? | YES | 56¢ | 88¢ | +56.2% | Day 7 · Sep 16, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting? | NO | 56¢ | 89¢ | +58.0% | Day 7 · Sep 16, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | YES | 82¢ | 0¢ | −99.8% | Resolution · Sep 16, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | YES | 81¢ | 0¢ | −99.9% | Resolution · Sep 16, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 80¢ | 66¢ | −18.1% | Day 7 · Sep 16, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | NO | 78¢ | 90¢ | +15.4% | Day 7 · Sep 16, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 78¢ | 81¢ | +3.8% | Day 7 · Sep 16, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Will Moderate Party (M) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes? | YES | 44¢ | 0¢ | −99.9% | Resolution · Sep 16, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | YES | 68¢ | 100¢ | +47.1% | Resolution · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | YES | 74¢ | 100¢ | +35.1% | Resolution · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026? | NO | 47¢ | 100¢ | +112.8% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026? | NO | 58¢ | 100¢ | +72.4% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026? | NO | 69¢ | 100¢ | +44.9% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 95.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 9, 2026? | NO | 36¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026? | NO | 47¢ | 100¢ | +112.8% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026? | NO | 56¢ | 100¢ | +78.6% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026? | NO | 33¢ | 100¢ | +203.0% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026? | NO | 40¢ | 100¢ | +150.0% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026? | NO | 50¢ | 100¢ | +100.0% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026? | NO | 59¢ | 100¢ | +69.5% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026? | NO | 67¢ | 100¢ | +49.3% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 95.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 9, 2026? | NO | 40¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026? | NO | 55¢ | 100¢ | +81.8% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026? | NO | 63¢ | 100¢ | +58.7% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026? | NO | 70¢ | 100¢ | +42.9% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Will David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence? | YES | 81¢ | 100¢ | +23.5% | Resolution · Sep 10, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026? | NO | 40¢ | 100¢ | +150.0% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026? | NO | 45¢ | 100¢ | +122.2% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026? | NO | 54¢ | 100¢ | +85.2% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 11, 2026? | NO | 50¢ | 100¢ | +100.0% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 11, 2026? | NO | 58¢ | 100¢ | +72.4% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 11, 2026? | NO | 76¢ | 100¢ | +31.6% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | YES | 72¢ | 100¢ | +38.9% | Resolution · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Ethereum price at Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | NO | 66¢ | 100¢ | +51.5% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | NO | 78¢ | 90¢ | +15.4% | Day 7 · Sep 16, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026? | NO | 43¢ | 100¢ | +132.6% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026? | NO | 51¢ | 100¢ | +96.1% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026? | NO | 58¢ | 100¢ | +72.4% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026? | NO | 65¢ | 100¢ | +53.8% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 94.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 9, 2026? | NO | 64¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 78¢ | 81¢ | +3.8% | Day 7 · Sep 16, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026? | NO | 45¢ | 100¢ | +122.2% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026? | NO | 55¢ | 100¢ | +81.8% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026? | NO | 62¢ | 100¢ | +61.3% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026? | NO | 69¢ | 100¢ | +44.9% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026? | YES | 60¢ | 100¢ | +66.7% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 94.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 9, 2026? | NO | 60¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | YES | 69¢ | 100¢ | +44.9% | Resolution · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for August 2026 be above 334.750? | YES | 76¢ | 100¢ | +31.6% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | YES | 78¢ | 0¢ | −99.9% | Resolution · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence? | YES | 76¢ | 100¢ | +31.6% | Resolution · Sep 10, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes? | NO | 69¢ | 100¢ | +44.9% | Resolution · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | NO | 78¢ | 85¢ | +8.3% | Day 7 · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | YES | 80¢ | 0¢ | −99.9% | Resolution · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | NO | 80¢ | 0¢ | −99.9% | Resolution · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 78¢ | 83¢ | +5.8% | Day 7 · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | NO | 40¢ | 0¢ | −99.9% | Resolution · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will Moderate Party (M) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes? | YES | 38¢ | 0¢ | −99.9% | Resolution · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? | YES | 80¢ | 82¢ | +1.9% | Day 7 · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | YES | 64¢ | 100¢ | +56.3% | Resolution · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 80¢ | 84¢ | +4.4% | Day 7 · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 80¢ | 82¢ | +1.9% | Day 7 · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026? | YES | 57¢ | 100¢ | +75.4% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 74¢ | 89¢ | +19.6% | Day 7 · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | NO | 54¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 10, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | YES | 66¢ | 100¢ | +51.5% | Resolution · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will the natural gas close price be above 2.910 USD/MMBtu on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? | YES | 56¢ | 100¢ | +78.6% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 80¢ | 84¢ | +4.4% | Day 7 · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | YES | 64¢ | 100¢ | +56.3% | Resolution · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | NO | 79¢ | 85¢ | +7.0% | Day 7 · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 64¢ | 100¢ | +56.3% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 38¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 11, 2026? | YES | 48¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Ethereum price at Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | YES | 33¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 90.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 9, 2026? | YES | 71¢ | 100¢ | +40.8% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 91.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 9, 2026? | YES | 62¢ | 100¢ | +61.3% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 8, 2026? | NO | 58¢ | 100¢ | +72.4% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 91.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 9, 2026? | YES | 56¢ | 100¢ | +78.6% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026? | YES | 61¢ | 100¢ | +63.9% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 8, 2026? | NO | 40¢ | 100¢ | +150.0% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 8, 2026? | NO | 70¢ | 100¢ | +42.9% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting? | YES | 54¢ | 88¢ | +62.0% | Day 7 · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | YES | 48¢ | 63¢ | +30.2% | Day 7 · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026? | YES | 62¢ | 100¢ | +61.3% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Ethereum price at Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | NO | 64¢ | 100¢ | +56.3% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 92.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 74¢ | 100¢ | +35.1% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 91.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 9, 2026? | YES | 77¢ | 100¢ | +29.9% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 91.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 9, 2026? | YES | 69¢ | 100¢ | +44.9% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 91.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 9, 2026? | YES | 64¢ | 100¢ | +56.3% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 91.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 70¢ | 100¢ | +42.9% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 92.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 54¢ | 100¢ | +85.2% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | YES | 78¢ | 100¢ | +28.2% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 72¢ | 100¢ | +38.9% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 64¢ | 100¢ | +56.3% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 53¢ | 100¢ | +88.7% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? | YES | 80¢ | 87¢ | +8.1% | Day 7 · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 72¢ | 100¢ | +38.9% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 64¢ | 100¢ | +56.3% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 52¢ | 100¢ | +92.3% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 42¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 11, 2026? | YES | 48¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Ethereum price at Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | YES | 76¢ | 100¢ | +31.6% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 8, 2026? | NO | 56¢ | 100¢ | +78.6% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Ethereum price at Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | NO | 45¢ | 100¢ | +122.2% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 72¢ | 100¢ | +38.9% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 52¢ | 100¢ | +92.3% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026? | YES | 62¢ | 100¢ | +61.3% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | NO | 78¢ | 0¢ | −99.9% | Resolution · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | YES | 78¢ | 0¢ | −99.9% | Resolution · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | YES | 74¢ | 97¢ | +30.9% | Day 7 · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 64¢ | 100¢ | +56.3% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 56¢ | 100¢ | +78.6% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 46¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 38¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 11, 2026? | YES | 64¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will BTC trimmed mean be above $82500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026? | YES | 60¢ | 41¢ | −32.5% | Day 7 · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Ethereum price at Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | YES | 66¢ | 100¢ | +51.5% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | NO | 59¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 10, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 72¢ | 100¢ | +38.9% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 78¢ | 100¢ | +28.2% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 72¢ | 100¢ | +38.9% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 48¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 11, 2026? | YES | 44¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 69¢ | 100¢ | +44.9% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 61¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 44¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 11, 2026? | YES | 62¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 11, 2026? | YES | 55¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 78¢ | 100¢ | +28.2% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 72¢ | 100¢ | +38.9% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 64¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 56¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 50¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026? | YES | 61¢ | 100¢ | +63.9% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | YES | 82¢ | 98¢ | +19.1% | Day 7 · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 92.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 52¢ | 100¢ | +92.3% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026? | YES | 62¢ | 100¢ | +61.3% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting? | YES | 52¢ | 88¢ | +68.3% | Day 7 · Sep 15, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 91.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 72¢ | 100¢ | +38.9% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 89.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 9, 2026? | YES | 80¢ | 100¢ | +25.0% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 92.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 45¢ | 100¢ | +122.2% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes? | NO | 57¢ | 18¢ | −68.4% | Day 7 · Sep 14, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 77¢ | 83¢ | +7.1% | Day 7 · Sep 14, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026? | YES | 56¢ | 100¢ | +78.6% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | NO | 77¢ | 84¢ | +8.4% | Day 7 · Sep 14, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026? | YES | 28¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 11, 2026? | YES | 44¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Ethereum price at Sep 7, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | YES | 42¢ | 100¢ | +138.1% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026? | YES | 58¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026? | YES | 45¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026? | YES | 62¢ | 100¢ | +61.3% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026? | YES | 66¢ | 100¢ | +51.5% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026? | YES | 56¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026? | YES | 45¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | YES | 52¢ | 92¢ | +76.9% | Day 7 · Sep 14, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026? | YES | 68¢ | 100¢ | +47.1% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026? | YES | 59¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026? | YES | 50¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026? | YES | 38¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Will BTC trimmed mean be above $85000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026? | YES | 44¢ | 24¢ | −45.5% | Day 7 · Sep 14, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026? | YES | 66¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026? | YES | 56¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026? | YES | 45¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 91.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 56¢ | 100¢ | +78.6% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 80¢ | 82¢ | +2.5% | Day 7 · Sep 14, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes? | NO | 62¢ | 23¢ | −62.9% | Day 7 · Sep 14, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | YES | 80¢ | 0¢ | −99.9% | Resolution · Sep 14, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21? | NO | 80¢ | 89¢ | +10.6% | Day 7 · Sep 14, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026? | YES | 64¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026? | YES | 48¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | YES | 76¢ | 94¢ | +23.9% | Day 7 · Sep 14, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026? | YES | 76¢ | 100¢ | +31.6% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026? | YES | 61¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026? | YES | 53¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026? | YES | 46¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026? | YES | 43¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican nominee for NH-01? | YES | 78¢ | 99¢ | +26.9% | Day 7 · Sep 14, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026? | YES | 61¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026? | YES | 45¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026? | YES | 76¢ | 100¢ | +31.6% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026? | YES | 69¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026? | YES | 56¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | NO | 82¢ | 84¢ | +1.8% | Day 7 · Sep 14, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026? | YES | 70¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026? | YES | 56¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026? | YES | 48¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | NO | 80¢ | 0¢ | −99.5% | Resolution · Sep 13, 2026 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | YES | 56¢ | 83¢ | +47.3% | Day 7 · Sep 13, 2026 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 82¢ | 83¢ | +0.6% | Day 7 · Sep 13, 2026 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 74¢ | 90¢ | +20.9% | Day 7 · Sep 13, 2026 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? | YES | 82¢ | 80¢ | −2.4% | Day 7 · Sep 13, 2026 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026? | YES | 58¢ | 100¢ | +72.4% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026? | YES | 60¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026? | YES | 40¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 89.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 84¢ | 100¢ | +19.0% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 90.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 8, 2026? | YES | 68¢ | 100¢ | +47.1% | Resolution · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 6, 2026? | YES | 66¢ | 100¢ | +51.5% | Resolution · Sep 6, 2026 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 6, 2026? | YES | 38¢ | 100¢ | +163.2% | Resolution · Sep 6, 2026 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 6, 2026? | YES | 70¢ | 100¢ | +42.9% | Resolution · Sep 6, 2026 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 6, 2026? | YES | 53¢ | 100¢ | +88.7% | Resolution · Sep 6, 2026 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 6, 2026? | YES | 70¢ | 100¢ | +42.9% | Resolution · Sep 6, 2026 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 6, 2026? | YES | 54¢ | 100¢ | +85.2% | Resolution · Sep 6, 2026 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 6, 2026? | YES | 36¢ | 100¢ | +177.8% | Resolution · Sep 6, 2026 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting? | YES | 50¢ | 80¢ | +59.0% | Day 7 · Sep 13, 2026 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 6, 2026? | YES | 54¢ | 100¢ | +85.2% | Resolution · Sep 6, 2026 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 6, 2026? | YES | 56¢ | 100¢ | +78.6% | Resolution · Sep 6, 2026 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 6, 2026? | YES | 74¢ | 100¢ | +35.1% | Resolution · Sep 6, 2026 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 6, 2026? | YES | 63¢ | 100¢ | +58.7% | Resolution · Sep 6, 2026 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 6, 2026? | YES | 50¢ | 100¢ | +100.0% | Resolution · Sep 6, 2026 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ethereum price at Sep 6, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | YES | 55¢ | 100¢ | +81.8% | Resolution · Sep 6, 2026 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 5, 2026? | NO | 66¢ | 100¢ | +51.5% | Resolution · Sep 5, 2026 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes? | YES | 54¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026? | YES | 56¢ | 100¢ | +78.6% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026? | YES | 57¢ | 100¢ | +75.4% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting? | YES | 50¢ | 81¢ | +61.0% | Day 7 · Sep 12, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in August 2026? | YES | 72¢ | 100¢ | +38.9% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Will Oscar Isaac win Movie/Limited Actor at the Emmy Awards? | NO | 28¢ | 29¢ | +1.8% | Day 7 · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | NO | 68¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 10, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Ethereum price at Sep 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | YES | 60¢ | 100¢ | +66.7% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 90.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 60¢ | 100¢ | +66.7% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 90.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 31¢ | 100¢ | +222.6% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 90.00 and 90.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 4, 2026? | NO | 48¢ | 100¢ | +108.3% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026? | YES | 62¢ | 100¢ | +61.3% | Resolution · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Ethereum price at Sep 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | YES | 48¢ | 100¢ | +108.3% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 78¢ | 100¢ | +28.2% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 60¢ | 100¢ | +66.7% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 41¢ | 100¢ | +143.9% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 74¢ | 100¢ | +35.1% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 32¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Ethereum price at Sep 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | YES | 82¢ | 100¢ | +22.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Ethereum price at Sep 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | YES | 50¢ | 100¢ | +100.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 82¢ | 100¢ | +22.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 60¢ | 100¢ | +66.7% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 45¢ | 100¢ | +122.2% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 30¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 22¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 14¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Will BTC trimmed mean be above $82500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026? | YES | 68¢ | 47¢ | −31.6% | Day 7 · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Will BTC trimmed mean be above $85000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026? | YES | 50¢ | 28¢ | −45.0% | Day 7 · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Ethereum price at Sep 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | YES | 48¢ | 100¢ | +108.3% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Ethereum price at Sep 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | YES | 18¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | NO | 58¢ | 100¢ | +72.4% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 89.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 78¢ | 100¢ | +28.2% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 89.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 63¢ | 100¢ | +58.7% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 89.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 82¢ | 100¢ | +22.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 89.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 72¢ | 100¢ | +38.9% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 90.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 60¢ | 100¢ | +66.7% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Ethereum price at Sep 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | NO | 56¢ | 100¢ | +78.6% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 89.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 82¢ | 100¢ | +22.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 89.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 72¢ | 100¢ | +38.9% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes? | YES | 62¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | YES | 62¢ | 100¢ | +61.3% | Resolution · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 56¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 90.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 61¢ | 100¢ | +63.9% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting? | YES | 42¢ | 63¢ | +48.8% | Day 7 · Sep 11, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 56¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 90.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 74¢ | 100¢ | +35.1% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | NO | 76¢ | 100¢ | +31.6% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | NO | 76¢ | 100¢ | +31.6% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Ethereum price at Sep 3, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | YES | 21¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 3, 2026? | NO | 50¢ | 100¢ | +100.0% | Resolution · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting? | YES | 44¢ | 65¢ | +46.6% | Day 7 · Sep 10, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 3, 2026? | YES | 49¢ | 100¢ | +104.1% | Resolution · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 3, 2026? | YES | 30¢ | 100¢ | +233.3% | Resolution · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Ethereum price at Sep 3, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | YES | 36¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.0% in August? | YES | 76¢ | 100¢ | +31.6% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting? | YES | 44¢ | 64¢ | +44.3% | Day 7 · Sep 10, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | NO | 60¢ | 100¢ | +66.7% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting? | YES | 44¢ | 66¢ | +48.9% | Day 7 · Sep 10, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Will above 20000 jobs be added in August 2026? | YES | 62¢ | 100¢ | +61.3% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Onslaught Rotten Tomatoes score? | YES | 70¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | NO | 30¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | NO | 48¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | NO | 78¢ | 100¢ | +28.2% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Ethereum price at Sep 3, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | NO | 24¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | NO | 64¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | NO | 80¢ | 100¢ | +25.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Ethereum price at Sep 3, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | NO | 62¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 3, 2026? | NO | 40¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 3, 2026? | NO | 50¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 3, 2026? | NO | 60¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 3, 2026? | NO | 69¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | NO | 44¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | NO | 68¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting? | YES | 48¢ | 54¢ | +11.5% | Day 7 · Sep 10, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | NO | 62¢ | 27¢ | −57.3% | Day 7 · Sep 10, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 3, 2026? | YES | 68¢ | 100¢ | +47.1% | Resolution · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 3, 2026? | YES | 58¢ | 100¢ | +72.4% | Resolution · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 3, 2026? | YES | 48¢ | 100¢ | +108.3% | Resolution · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 48¢ | 100¢ | +108.3% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 91.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 3, 2026? | NO | 24¢ | 100¢ | +316.7% | Resolution · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 92.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 3, 2026? | NO | 39¢ | 100¢ | +156.4% | Resolution · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | NO | 54¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 74¢ | 75¢ | +1.4% | Day 7 · Sep 10, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Will Centre Party (C) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes? | YES | 58¢ | 63¢ | +8.6% | Day 7 · Sep 10, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes? | YES | 36¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | YES | 84¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | YES | 62¢ | 69¢ | +10.5% | Day 7 · Sep 10, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 3, 2026? | YES | 74¢ | 100¢ | +35.1% | Resolution · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 3, 2026? | YES | 70¢ | 100¢ | +42.9% | Resolution · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.2% for the year ending in August 2026? | YES | 84¢ | 91¢ | +8.3% | Day 7 · Sep 10, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 88.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 3, 2026? | YES | 82¢ | 100¢ | +22.0% | Resolution · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 89.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 3, 2026? | YES | 72¢ | 100¢ | +38.9% | Resolution · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 89.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 3, 2026? | YES | 61¢ | 100¢ | +63.9% | Resolution · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes? | YES | 57¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 89.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 3, 2026? | YES | 70¢ | 100¢ | +42.9% | Resolution · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 3, 2026? | NO | 65¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 3, 2026? | NO | 58¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 90.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 3, 2026? | YES | 66¢ | 100¢ | +51.5% | Resolution · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | NO | 70¢ | 61¢ | −12.9% | Day 7 · Sep 10, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 3, 2026? | YES | 68¢ | 100¢ | +47.1% | Resolution · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? | YES | 55¢ | 69¢ | +24.5% | Day 7 · Sep 10, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | YES | 68¢ | 72¢ | +5.9% | Day 7 · Sep 10, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Onslaught Rotten Tomatoes score? | YES | 70¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.0% in August? | YES | 76¢ | 100¢ | +31.6% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | YES | 75¢ | 84¢ | +11.3% | Day 7 · Sep 10, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | YES | 72¢ | 100¢ | +38.9% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Will David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence? | YES | 82¢ | 79¢ | −4.3% | Day 7 · Sep 10, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes? | YES | 56¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes? | YES | 62¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | YES | 78¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026? | YES | 79¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 3, 2026? | YES | 62¢ | 100¢ | +61.3% | Resolution · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 3, 2026? | YES | 43¢ | 100¢ | +132.6% | Resolution · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Will the Bank of Russia Maintain current rate at the September Bank of Russia Board of Directors’ key rate meeting? | YES | 60¢ | 89¢ | +47.5% | Day 7 · Sep 10, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting? | YES | 55¢ | 55¢ | −0.9% | Day 7 · Sep 10, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Will above 20000 jobs be added in August 2026? | YES | 61¢ | 100¢ | +63.9% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | NO | 78¢ | 84¢ | +7.1% | Day 7 · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | YES | 72¢ | 100¢ | +38.9% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 68¢ | 75¢ | +9.6% | Day 7 · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1400? | YES | 70¢ | 100¢ | +42.9% | Resolution · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 90.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 3, 2026? | YES | 55¢ | 100¢ | +81.8% | Resolution · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes? | YES | 56¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes? | YES | 62¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | YES | 82¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026? | YES | 81¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | YES | 44¢ | 53¢ | +19.3% | Day 7 · Sep 9, 2026 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 90.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 3, 2026? | YES | 56¢ | 100¢ | +78.6% | Resolution · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | NO | 36¢ | 22¢ | −38.9% | Day 7 · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 62¢ | 100¢ | +61.3% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? | YES | 81¢ | 100¢ | +23.5% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026? | YES | 55¢ | 100¢ | +81.8% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | YES | 85¢ | 70¢ | −18.2% | Day 7 · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in September? | NO | 48¢ | 56¢ | +17.7% | Day 7 · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 24¢ | 100¢ | +316.7% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 72¢ | 100¢ | +38.9% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 64¢ | 100¢ | +56.3% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Ethereum price at Sep 1, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | YES | 71¢ | 100¢ | +40.8% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | YES | 46¢ | 100¢ | +117.4% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026? | YES | 70¢ | 100¢ | +42.9% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 69¢ | 100¢ | +44.9% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 50¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 30¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 58¢ | 100¢ | +72.4% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 50¢ | 100¢ | +100.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 42¢ | 100¢ | +138.1% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Ethereum price at Sep 1, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | YES | 30¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.0% in August? | YES | 77¢ | 100¢ | +29.9% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.2% in August? | NO | 80¢ | 100¢ | +25.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Ethereum price at Sep 1, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | YES | 43¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 87.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 66¢ | 100¢ | +51.5% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026? | YES | 82¢ | 100¢ | +22.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 68¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 56¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 40¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? | YES | 84¢ | 100¢ | +19.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | NO | 84¢ | 92¢ | +8.9% | Day 7 · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 3, 2026? | YES | 74¢ | 100¢ | +35.1% | Day 7 · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | YES | 59¢ | 49¢ | −17.8% | Day 7 · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.2% for the year ending in August 2026? | YES | 84¢ | 93¢ | +10.1% | Day 7 · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting? | YES | 60¢ | 53¢ | −12.5% | Day 7 · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Will above -25000 jobs be added in August 2026? | YES | 84¢ | 100¢ | +19.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Will above 20000 jobs be added in August 2026? | YES | 62¢ | 100¢ | +61.3% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? | YES | 72¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 52¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 42¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 76¢ | 100¢ | +31.6% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 68¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 56¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 46¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 34¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 48¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 55¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 36¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026? | YES | 83¢ | 100¢ | +20.5% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026? | YES | 83¢ | 100¢ | +20.5% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 44¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 34¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 70¢ | 100¢ | +42.9% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 62¢ | 100¢ | +61.3% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 55¢ | 100¢ | +81.8% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 47¢ | 100¢ | +112.8% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 40¢ | 100¢ | +150.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | YES | 49¢ | 100¢ | +104.1% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 70¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 62¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 50¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026? | YES | 76¢ | 100¢ | +31.6% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of August 31 2026? | NO | 62¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 49¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Ethereum price at Sep 1, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | NO | 54¢ | 100¢ | +85.2% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Ethereum price at Sep 1, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | NO | 54¢ | 100¢ | +85.2% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 86¢ | 78¢ | −9.3% | Day 7 · Sep 8, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of August 31 2026? | NO | 63¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Ethereum price at Sep 1, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | NO | 54¢ | 100¢ | +85.2% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026? | YES | 62¢ | 100¢ | +61.3% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Ethereum price at Sep 1, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | NO | 63¢ | 100¢ | +58.7% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 50¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 60¢ | 100¢ | +66.7% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026? | YES | 82¢ | 100¢ | +22.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 65¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Ethereum price at Sep 1, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | NO | 59¢ | 100¢ | +69.5% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Will above 20000 jobs be added in August 2026? | YES | 64¢ | 100¢ | +56.3% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | YES | 50¢ | 100¢ | +100.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | NO | 84¢ | 100¢ | +19.0% | Resolution · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026? | YES | 76¢ | 100¢ | +31.6% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026? | YES | 80¢ | 100¢ | +25.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | NO | 57¢ | 26¢ | −55.3% | Day 7 · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | YES | 59¢ | 49¢ | −17.8% | Day 7 · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 69¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 60¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08? | YES | 78¢ | 100¢ | +28.2% | Resolution · Sep 2, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? | YES | 56¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026? | NO | 68¢ | 100¢ | +47.1% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 31, 2026? | NO | 41¢ | 100¢ | +143.9% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 31, 2026? | NO | 72¢ | 100¢ | +38.9% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 84.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 69¢ | 100¢ | +44.9% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | YES | 84¢ | 67¢ | −20.8% | Day 7 · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026? | YES | 64¢ | 100¢ | +56.3% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026? | YES | 55¢ | 100¢ | +81.8% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 31, 2026? | NO | 49¢ | 100¢ | +104.1% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 31, 2026? | NO | 77¢ | 100¢ | +29.9% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | NO | 50¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | NO | 57¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 84.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 69¢ | 100¢ | +44.9% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 31, 2026? | NO | 57¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | NO | 54¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.2% in August? | NO | 74¢ | 100¢ | +35.1% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 84.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 69¢ | 100¢ | +44.9% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 84.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 61¢ | 100¢ | +63.9% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 85.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 51¢ | 100¢ | +96.1% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 84.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 69¢ | 100¢ | +44.9% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 85.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 51¢ | 100¢ | +96.1% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on August 31? | YES | 28¢ | 100¢ | +257.1% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 84.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 62¢ | 100¢ | +61.3% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 31, 2026? | NO | 45¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 31, 2026? | NO | 62¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 31, 2026? | NO | 76¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Ethereum price at Aug 31, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | NO | 35¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 85.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 62¢ | 100¢ | +61.3% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 31, 2026? | YES | 58¢ | 100¢ | +72.4% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 31, 2026? | YES | 51¢ | 100¢ | +96.1% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 55¢ | 100¢ | +81.8% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 84.99 USD/Bbl on Aug 31, 2026? | YES | 72¢ | 100¢ | +38.9% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 85.49 USD/Bbl on Aug 31, 2026? | YES | 60¢ | 100¢ | +66.7% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 85.99 USD/Bbl on Aug 31, 2026? | YES | 38¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 84.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 75¢ | 100¢ | +33.3% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 84.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 1, 2026? | YES | 63¢ | 100¢ | +58.7% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 31, 2026? | YES | 75¢ | 100¢ | +33.3% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 31, 2026? | YES | 60¢ | 100¢ | +66.7% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Ethereum price at Aug 31, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | NO | 39¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? | YES | 63¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 31, 2026? | NO | 75¢ | 100¢ | +33.3% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | NO | 57¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 86.49 USD/Bbl on Aug 31, 2026? | NO | 60¢ | 100¢ | +66.7% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 31, 2026? | NO | 63¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Ethereum price at Aug 31, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | NO | 52¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 31, 2026? | NO | 53¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 31, 2026? | NO | 74¢ | 100¢ | +35.1% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 31, 2026? | NO | 80¢ | 100¢ | +25.0% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | NO | 48¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 31, 2026? | NO | 42¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 31, 2026? | NO | 58¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in September? | NO | 40¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 31, 2026? | YES | 48¢ | 100¢ | +108.3% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026? | YES | 80¢ | 100¢ | +25.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026? | YES | 74¢ | 100¢ | +35.1% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | NO | 54¢ | 50¢ | −8.3% | Day 7 · Sep 7, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026? | YES | 54¢ | 100¢ | +85.2% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026? | YES | 74¢ | 100¢ | +35.1% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 74¢ | 100¢ | +35.1% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 73¢ | 100¢ | +37.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 64¢ | 100¢ | +56.3% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | YES | 49¢ | 100¢ | +104.1% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 84.49 USD/Bbl on Aug 31, 2026? | YES | 60¢ | 100¢ | +66.7% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | NO | 82¢ | 100¢ | +21.6% | Resolution · Sep 6, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election? | NO | 74¢ | 100¢ | +35.1% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026? | YES | 74¢ | 100¢ | +35.1% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026? | YES | 74¢ | 100¢ | +35.1% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? | YES | 62¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 31, 2026? | YES | 76¢ | 100¢ | +31.6% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 83.99 USD/Bbl on Aug 31, 2026? | YES | 72¢ | 100¢ | +38.9% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | NO | 82¢ | 99¢ | +21.2% | Day 7 · Sep 6, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026? | YES | 76¢ | 100¢ | +31.6% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026? | YES | 69¢ | 100¢ | +44.9% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026? | YES | 76¢ | 100¢ | +31.6% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15? | NO | 72¢ | 76¢ | +4.9% | Day 7 · Sep 6, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | YES | 50¢ | 51¢ | +1.0% | Day 7 · Sep 6, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? | YES | 78¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 30, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026? | YES | 74¢ | 100¢ | +35.1% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 30, 2026? | YES | 62¢ | 100¢ | +61.3% | Resolution · Aug 30, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? | NO | 60¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Ethereum price at Aug 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | NO | 54¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 30, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | YES | 52¢ | 50¢ | −4.8% | Day 7 · Sep 6, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026? | YES | 75¢ | 100¢ | +33.3% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026? | YES | 55¢ | 100¢ | +81.8% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026? | YES | 70¢ | 100¢ | +42.9% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Ethereum price at Aug 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | NO | 59¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 30, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | YES | 48¢ | 100¢ | +108.3% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | YES | 52¢ | 50¢ | −4.8% | Day 7 · Sep 6, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 68¢ | 75¢ | +9.6% | Day 7 · Sep 6, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026? | YES | 76¢ | 100¢ | +31.6% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 30, 2026? | NO | 50¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 30, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 30, 2026? | NO | 68¢ | 100¢ | +47.1% | Resolution · Aug 30, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 68¢ | 75¢ | +9.6% | Day 7 · Sep 6, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 30, 2026? | NO | 57¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 30, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 30, 2026? | NO | 76¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 30, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? | YES | 78¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 30, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Will the gold close price be above 4411.99 USD/t.oz on August 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? | YES | 79¢ | 100¢ | +26.6% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026? | YES | 79¢ | 100¢ | +26.6% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | YES | 52¢ | 50¢ | −4.8% | Day 7 · Sep 6, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | NO | 82¢ | 83¢ | +1.2% | Day 7 · Sep 6, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | YES | 50¢ | 50¢ | −1.0% | Day 7 · Sep 6, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | YES | 76¢ | 74¢ | −3.3% | Day 7 · Sep 6, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 68¢ | 75¢ | +9.6% | Day 7 · Sep 6, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? | YES | 78¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 30, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026? | YES | 66¢ | 100¢ | +51.5% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 30, 2026? | NO | 68¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 30, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting? | YES | 52¢ | 49¢ | −6.7% | Day 7 · Sep 6, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | YES | 76¢ | 74¢ | −3.3% | Day 7 · Sep 6, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 68¢ | 75¢ | +9.6% | Day 7 · Sep 6, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? | YES | 78¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 30, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026? | YES | 64¢ | 100¢ | +56.3% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | NO | 82¢ | 83¢ | +0.6% | Day 7 · Sep 6, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | YES | 54¢ | 50¢ | −8.3% | Day 7 · Sep 6, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? | YES | 83¢ | 100¢ | +20.5% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | NO | 82¢ | 84¢ | +1.8% | Day 7 · Sep 5, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | YES | 76¢ | 75¢ | −2.0% | Day 7 · Sep 5, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 68¢ | 75¢ | +9.6% | Day 7 · Sep 5, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | YES | 55¢ | 50¢ | −10.0% | Day 7 · Sep 5, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? | YES | 78¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 30, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? | YES | 74¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | YES | 61¢ | 37¢ | −39.3% | Day 7 · Sep 5, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | YES | 76¢ | 75¢ | −2.0% | Day 7 · Sep 5, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 66¢ | 75¢ | +12.9% | Day 7 · Sep 5, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026? | YES | 74¢ | 100¢ | +35.1% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting? | YES | 54¢ | 49¢ | −10.2% | Day 7 · Sep 5, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? | YES | 78¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 30, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | NO | 83¢ | 82¢ | −1.2% | Day 7 · Sep 5, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 29, 2026? | NO | 45¢ | 100¢ | +122.2% | Resolution · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | YES | 55¢ | 50¢ | −10.0% | Day 7 · Sep 5, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 29, 2026? | NO | 73¢ | 100¢ | +37.0% | Resolution · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Ethereum price at Aug 29, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | NO | 56¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? | YES | 82¢ | 100¢ | +22.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026? | YES | 71¢ | 100¢ | +40.8% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? | YES | 72¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 29, 2026? | NO | 82¢ | 100¢ | +22.0% | Resolution · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 29, 2026? | NO | 80¢ | 100¢ | +25.0% | Resolution · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Ethereum price at Aug 29, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | NO | 68¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026? | YES | 74¢ | 100¢ | +35.1% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 29, 2026? | NO | 55¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 29, 2026? | NO | 79¢ | 100¢ | +26.6% | Resolution · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting? | YES | 54¢ | 49¢ | −10.2% | Day 7 · Sep 5, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | YES | 72¢ | 73¢ | +0.7% | Day 7 · Sep 5, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026? | YES | 78¢ | 100¢ | +28.2% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | YES | 67¢ | 75¢ | +11.2% | Day 7 · Sep 5, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 29, 2026? | NO | 77¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | YES | 38¢ | 0¢ | −99.5% | Resolution · Sep 5, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? | YES | 78¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 30, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 29, 2026? | NO | 76¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 29, 2026? | YES | 60¢ | 100¢ | +66.7% | Resolution · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 29, 2026? | YES | 33¢ | 100¢ | +203.0% | Resolution · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 29, 2026? | NO | 83¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 29, 2026? | YES | 42¢ | 100¢ | +138.1% | Resolution · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 29, 2026? | YES | 74¢ | 100¢ | +35.1% | Resolution · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 29, 2026? | YES | 36¢ | 100¢ | +177.8% | Resolution · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 29, 2026? | YES | 77¢ | 100¢ | +29.9% | Resolution · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 29, 2026? | YES | 40¢ | 100¢ | +150.0% | Resolution · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 29, 2026? | NO | 76¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | NO | 82¢ | 82¢ | −0.6% | Day 7 · Sep 5, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 29, 2026? | YES | 71¢ | 100¢ | +40.8% | Resolution · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 29, 2026? | YES | 31¢ | 100¢ | +222.6% | Resolution · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 29, 2026? | NO | 84¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? | YES | 40¢ | 100¢ | +150.0% | Resolution · Aug 30, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 29, 2026? | YES | 80¢ | 100¢ | +25.0% | Resolution · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 29, 2026? | YES | 66¢ | 100¢ | +51.5% | Resolution · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 29, 2026? | NO | 86¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026? | YES | 78¢ | 100¢ | +28.2% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Ethereum price at Aug 29, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | NO | 70¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? | YES | 79¢ | 100¢ | +26.6% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | YES | 58¢ | 42¢ | −27.6% | Day 7 · Sep 5, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 29, 2026? | NO | 37¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 29, 2026? | NO | 71¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? | YES | 40¢ | 100¢ | +150.0% | Resolution · Aug 30, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026? | YES | 72¢ | 100¢ | +38.9% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | YES | 58¢ | 42¢ | −27.6% | Day 7 · Sep 5, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Ethereum price at Aug 29, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | NO | 68¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? | YES | 78¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 30, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 29, 2026? | NO | 62¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Ethereum price at Aug 29, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | NO | 59¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026? | NO | 54¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? | NO | 70¢ | 100¢ | +42.9% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? | YES | 42¢ | 100¢ | +138.1% | Resolution · Aug 30, 2026 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | YES | 66¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | NO | 70¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | YES | 83¢ | 91¢ | +10.2% | Day 7 · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? | YES | 79¢ | 100¢ | +26.6% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026? | YES | 82¢ | 100¢ | +22.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | NO | 84¢ | 90¢ | +6.5% | Day 7 · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026? | YES | 72¢ | 100¢ | +38.9% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026? | YES | 65¢ | 100¢ | +53.8% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | YES | 58¢ | 43¢ | −26.7% | Day 7 · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 29, 2026? | NO | 50¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 29, 2026? | NO | 63¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? | YES | 31¢ | 100¢ | +222.6% | Resolution · Aug 30, 2026 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026? | YES | 71¢ | 100¢ | +40.8% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | YES | 58¢ | 43¢ | −26.7% | Day 7 · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | NO | 80¢ | 82¢ | +1.9% | Day 7 · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? | YES | 78¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 30, 2026 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes? | YES | 57¢ | 64¢ | +11.4% | Day 7 · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026? | YES | 68¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting? | YES | 52¢ | 47¢ | −10.6% | Day 7 · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | YES | 70¢ | 49¢ | −30.7% | Day 7 · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | YES | 38¢ | 0¢ | −99.6% | Resolution · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? | YES | 42¢ | 100¢ | +138.1% | Resolution · Aug 30, 2026 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026? | YES | 76¢ | 100¢ | +31.6% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026? | YES | 70¢ | 100¢ | +42.9% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | YES | 60¢ | 46¢ | −24.2% | Day 7 · Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026? | YES | 69¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026? | YES | 54¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026? | YES | 37¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 82.49 USD/Bbl on Aug 28, 2026? | YES | 60¢ | 100¢ | +66.7% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 82.99 USD/Bbl on Aug 28, 2026? | YES | 38¢ | 100¢ | +163.2% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | YES | 42¢ | 0¢ | −99.5% | Resolution · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? | YES | 80¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 30, 2026 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | NO | 84¢ | 96¢ | +13.7% | Day 7 · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | NO | 78¢ | 90¢ | +14.7% | Day 7 · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes? | NO | 70¢ | 73¢ | +3.6% | Day 7 · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August? | YES | 39¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? | NO | 50¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Ethereum price at Aug 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | YES | 54¢ | 100¢ | +85.2% | Resolution · Aug 27, 2026 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 82.49 USD/Bbl on Aug 27, 2026? | NO | 29¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 27, 2026 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | NO | 79¢ | 76¢ | −3.4% | Day 7 · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | YES | 53¢ | 0¢ | −99.8% | Resolution · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? | YES | 82¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 30, 2026 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | NO | 80¢ | 96¢ | +19.4% | Day 7 · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | NO | 74¢ | 90¢ | +20.9% | Day 7 · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes? | NO | 70¢ | 73¢ | +4.3% | Day 7 · Sep 3, 2026 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 27, 2026? | NO | 56¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 27, 2026 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026? | NO | 44¢ | 100¢ | +127.3% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026? | NO | 75¢ | 100¢ | +33.3% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Will BTC trimmed mean be above $82500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026? | NO | 62¢ | 100¢ | +61.3% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 27, 2026? | YES | 52¢ | 100¢ | +92.3% | Resolution · Aug 27, 2026 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026? | YES | 77¢ | 100¢ | +29.9% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026? | YES | 42¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 80.99 USD/Bbl on Aug 27, 2026? | YES | 71¢ | 100¢ | +40.8% | Resolution · Aug 27, 2026 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 74¢ | 71¢ | −4.7% | Day 7 · Sep 2, 2026 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | YES | 75¢ | 89¢ | +19.3% | Day 7 · Sep 2, 2026 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | NO | 76¢ | 91¢ | +19.1% | Day 7 · Sep 2, 2026 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes? | NO | 62¢ | 72¢ | +16.1% | Day 7 · Sep 2, 2026 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026? | YES | 71¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026? | YES | 65¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026? | YES | 56¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Will BTC trimmed mean be above $82500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026? | NO | 65¢ | 100¢ | +53.8% | Resolution · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Ethereum price at Aug 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | YES | 59¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 74¢ | 72¢ | −3.4% | Day 7 · Sep 2, 2026 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | YES | 75¢ | 89¢ | +18.7% | Day 7 · Sep 2, 2026 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes? | NO | 64¢ | 72¢ | +12.5% | Day 7 · Sep 2, 2026 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 26, 2026? | YES | 68¢ | 100¢ | +47.1% | Resolution · Aug 26, 2026 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 26, 2026? | YES | 66¢ | 100¢ | +51.5% | Resolution · Aug 26, 2026 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 26, 2026? | YES | 54¢ | 100¢ | +85.2% | Resolution · Aug 26, 2026 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 26, 2026? | YES | 31¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 26, 2026 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026? | YES | 72¢ | 100¢ | +38.9% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026? | YES | 68¢ | 100¢ | +47.1% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026? | YES | 57¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026? | YES | 54¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026? | YES | 45¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026? | YES | 36¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026? | YES | 35¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Ethereum price at Aug 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | YES | 58¢ | 100¢ | +72.4% | Resolution · Aug 26, 2026 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Ethereum price at Aug 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | YES | 37¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026? | YES | 44¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026? | YES | 36¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 80.49 USD/Bbl on Aug 26, 2026? | YES | 61¢ | 100¢ | +63.9% | Resolution · Aug 26, 2026 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 72¢ | 72¢ | −0.7% | Day 7 · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | YES | 74¢ | 89¢ | +20.4% | Day 7 · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | YES | 57¢ | 100¢ | +75.4% | Resolution · Aug 26, 2026 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes? | NO | 70¢ | 72¢ | +2.1% | Day 7 · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026? | YES | 81¢ | 100¢ | +23.5% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026? | YES | 77¢ | 100¢ | +29.9% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026? | YES | 72¢ | 100¢ | +38.9% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026? | YES | 65¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026? | YES | 53¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026? | YES | 46¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Ethereum price at Aug 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | YES | 40¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 72¢ | 71¢ | −2.1% | Day 7 · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | YES | 77¢ | 88¢ | +14.4% | Day 7 · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | YES | 64¢ | 100¢ | +56.3% | Resolution · Aug 26, 2026 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan? | YES | 52¢ | 5¢ | −90.3% | Day 7 · Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 25, 2026? | YES | 72¢ | 100¢ | +38.9% | Resolution · Aug 25, 2026 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 25, 2026? | YES | 64¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 25, 2026 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 25, 2026? | YES | 54¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 25, 2026 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 25, 2026? | YES | 43¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 25, 2026 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 25, 2026? | YES | 29¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 25, 2026 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 25, 2026? | YES | 21¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 25, 2026 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026? | YES | 76¢ | 100¢ | +31.6% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026? | YES | 65¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026? | YES | 51¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026? | YES | 41¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026? | YES | 32¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Ethereum price at Aug 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | YES | 70¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 25, 2026 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Ethereum price at Aug 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | YES | 26¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Aug 25, 2026 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31? | YES | 78¢ | 100¢ | +28.1% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 72¢ | 70¢ | −3.5% | Day 7 · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026? | YES | 82¢ | 93¢ | +12.8% | Day 7 · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | YES | 78¢ | 87¢ | +11.0% | Day 7 · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | YES | 68¢ | 100¢ | +47.1% | Resolution · Aug 26, 2026 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 70¢ | 69¢ | −2.1% | Day 7 · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | YES | 68¢ | 46¢ | −33.1% | Day 7 · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | YES | 74¢ | 86¢ | +15.8% | Day 7 · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? | YES | 76¢ | 100¢ | +31.5% | Resolution · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31? | YES | 60¢ | 99¢ | +65.5% | Day 7 · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | YES | 40¢ | 6¢ | −85.9% | Day 7 · Aug 31, 2026 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 70¢ | 72¢ | +2.1% | Day 7 · Aug 30, 2026 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | YES | 75¢ | 87¢ | +15.5% | Day 7 · Aug 30, 2026 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? | YES | 70¢ | 100¢ | +42.4% | Resolution · Aug 30, 2026 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | YES | 31¢ | 0¢ | −98.9% | Resolution · Aug 30, 2026 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 70¢ | 74¢ | +5.7% | Day 7 · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026? | YES | 57¢ | 92¢ | +60.5% | Day 7 · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? | YES | 84¢ | 99¢ | +18.0% | Day 7 · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | YES | 79¢ | 85¢ | +7.2% | Day 7 · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026? | YES | 58¢ | 88¢ | +51.7% | Day 7 · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 70¢ | 75¢ | +6.4% | Day 7 · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026? | YES | 58¢ | 88¢ | +51.7% | Day 7 · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | YES | 80¢ | 85¢ | +5.9% | Day 7 · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? | YES | 70¢ | 99¢ | +40.9% | Day 7 · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | YES | 29¢ | 1¢ | −95.7% | Day 7 · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? | NO | 36¢ | 21¢ | −40.3% | Day 7 · Aug 29, 2026 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? | YES | 66¢ | 96¢ | +45.6% | Day 7 · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026? | YES | 60¢ | 88¢ | +45.8% | Day 7 · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? | NO | 36¢ | 22¢ | −37.5% | Day 7 · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 70¢ | 75¢ | +6.4% | Day 7 · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026? | YES | 60¢ | 88¢ | +45.8% | Day 7 · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | YES | 81¢ | 83¢ | +2.8% | Day 7 · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | YES | 70¢ | 69¢ | −2.1% | Day 7 · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? | YES | 66¢ | 94¢ | +42.4% | Day 7 · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 70¢ | 76¢ | +8.6% | Day 7 · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | YES | 81¢ | 83¢ | +2.2% | Day 7 · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 72¢ | 76¢ | +5.6% | Day 7 · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 86¢ | 85¢ | −1.2% | Day 7 · Aug 28, 2026 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026? | YES | 78¢ | 88¢ | +12.8% | Day 7 · Aug 27, 2026 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | YES | 77¢ | 82¢ | +6.2% | Day 7 · Aug 27, 2026 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? | YES | 73¢ | 95¢ | +30.0% | Day 7 · Aug 27, 2026 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 68¢ | 74¢ | +8.1% | Day 7 · Aug 27, 2026 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 84¢ | 86¢ | +1.8% | Day 7 · Aug 27, 2026 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | YES | 77¢ | 82¢ | +6.2% | Day 7 · Aug 27, 2026 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? | YES | 72¢ | 95¢ | +31.8% | Day 7 · Aug 27, 2026 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 70¢ | 73¢ | +3.6% | Day 7 · Aug 27, 2026 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | YES | 77¢ | 79¢ | +2.4% | Day 7 · Aug 27, 2026 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 70¢ | 73¢ | +3.6% | Day 7 · Aug 27, 2026 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 84¢ | 85¢ | +0.6% | Day 7 · Aug 27, 2026 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | YES | 72¢ | 68¢ | −6.2% | Day 7 · Aug 27, 2026 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | YES | 77¢ | 79¢ | +2.4% | Day 7 · Aug 27, 2026 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | YES | 75¢ | 75¢ | −0.3% | Day 7 · Aug 26, 2026 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 70¢ | 74¢ | +5.0% | Day 7 · Aug 26, 2026 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? | YES | 52¢ | 94¢ | +79.8% | Day 7 · Aug 26, 2026 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 72¢ | 74¢ | +2.1% | Day 7 · Aug 26, 2026 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 72¢ | 74¢ | +2.1% | Day 7 · Aug 26, 2026 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 74¢ | 72¢ | −3.4% | Day 7 · Aug 25, 2026 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 82¢ | 85¢ | +3.0% | Day 7 · Aug 25, 2026 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | YES | 73¢ | 73¢ | +0.1% | Day 7 · Aug 25, 2026 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary? | YES | 80¢ | 100¢ | +25.0% | Resolution · Aug 19, 2026 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? | YES | 59¢ | 92¢ | +55.9% | Day 7 · Aug 25, 2026 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | NO | 59¢ | 91¢ | +54.5% | Day 7 · Aug 25, 2026 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 82¢ | 85¢ | +3.7% | Day 7 · Aug 25, 2026 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary? | YES | 76¢ | 100¢ | +31.6% | Resolution · Aug 19, 2026 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary? | YES | 82¢ | 100¢ | +22.0% | Resolution · Aug 19, 2026 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 72¢ | 72¢ | −0.7% | Day 7 · Aug 24, 2026 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 82¢ | 85¢ | +3.0% | Day 7 · Aug 24, 2026 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 70¢ | 72¢ | +2.1% | Day 7 · Aug 24, 2026 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 82¢ | 85¢ | +3.0% | Day 7 · Aug 24, 2026 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary? | YES | 80¢ | 100¢ | +25.0% | Resolution · Aug 19, 2026 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? | YES | 62¢ | 81¢ | +29.8% | Day 7 · Aug 24, 2026 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | YES | 68¢ | 74¢ | +8.7% | Day 7 · Aug 24, 2026 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 70¢ | 71¢ | +0.7% | Day 7 · Aug 24, 2026 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 82¢ | 84¢ | +2.4% | Day 7 · Aug 24, 2026 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary? | YES | 80¢ | 100¢ | +25.0% | Resolution · Aug 19, 2026 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 82¢ | 84¢ | +1.8% | Day 7 · Aug 23, 2026 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? | YES | 66¢ | 70¢ | +5.3% | Day 7 · Aug 23, 2026 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 72¢ | 71¢ | −2.1% | Day 7 · Aug 23, 2026 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? | YES | 68¢ | 73¢ | +6.6% | Day 7 · Aug 23, 2026 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 72¢ | 71¢ | −2.1% | Day 7 · Aug 23, 2026 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 74¢ | 70¢ | −6.1% | Day 7 · Aug 22, 2026 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 72¢ | 70¢ | −3.5% | Day 7 · Aug 22, 2026 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 84¢ | 85¢ | +0.6% | Day 7 · Aug 22, 2026 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 72¢ | 71¢ | −2.1% | Day 7 · Aug 21, 2026 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 84¢ | 85¢ | +0.6% | Day 7 · Aug 21, 2026 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 82¢ | 86¢ | +4.3% | Day 7 · Aug 21, 2026 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 70¢ | 72¢ | +2.1% | Day 7 · Aug 21, 2026 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 70¢ | 69¢ | −2.1% | Day 7 · Aug 20, 2026 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | YES | 61¢ | 77¢ | +26.6% | Day 7 · Aug 20, 2026 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? | YES | 66¢ | 74¢ | +11.4% | Day 7 · Aug 20, 2026 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 66¢ | 71¢ | +6.8% | Day 7 · Aug 20, 2026 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 84¢ | 85¢ | +0.6% | Day 7 · Aug 20, 2026 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | YES | 57¢ | 77¢ | +34.3% | Day 7 · Aug 20, 2026 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | YES | 76¢ | 93¢ | +21.7% | Day 7 · Aug 20, 2026 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? | YES | 38¢ | 60¢ | +56.6% | Day 7 · Aug 20, 2026 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | YES | 63¢ | 40¢ | −36.5% | Day 7 · Aug 20, 2026 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 82¢ | 84¢ | +1.8% | Day 7 · Aug 19, 2026 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | YES | 55¢ | 75¢ | +36.9% | Day 7 · Aug 19, 2026 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 68¢ | 72¢ | +5.1% | Day 7 · Aug 19, 2026 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 82¢ | 82¢ | 0.0% | Day 7 · Aug 19, 2026 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? | YES | 43¢ | 59¢ | +36.0% | Day 7 · Aug 18, 2026 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 84¢ | 82¢ | −3.0% | Day 7 · Aug 18, 2026 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | YES | 56¢ | 73¢ | +29.8% | Day 7 · Aug 18, 2026 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | YES | 58¢ | 42¢ | −28.4% | Day 7 · Aug 18, 2026 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 82¢ | 82¢ | 0.0% | Day 7 · Aug 18, 2026 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 66¢ | 72¢ | +8.3% | Day 7 · Aug 17, 2026 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 81¢ | 83¢ | +1.9% | Day 7 · Aug 17, 2026 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | YES | 48¢ | 69¢ | +44.4% | Day 7 · Aug 17, 2026 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $330 end of August? | YES | 50¢ | 65¢ | +29.0% | Day 7 · Aug 17, 2026 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | YES | 68¢ | 37¢ | −46.3% | Day 7 · Aug 17, 2026 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | YES | 45¢ | 68¢ | +52.1% | Day 7 · Aug 17, 2026 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | YES | 59¢ | 47¢ | −20.0% | Day 7 · Aug 17, 2026 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | YES | 66¢ | 81¢ | +22.0% | Day 7 · Aug 16, 2026 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | YES | 66¢ | 82¢ | +23.5% | Day 7 · Aug 16, 2026 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 68¢ | 73¢ | +6.6% | Day 7 · Aug 16, 2026 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $330 end of August? | YES | 48¢ | 64¢ | +33.3% | Day 7 · Aug 16, 2026 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? | YES | 74¢ | 100¢ | +35.1% | Resolution · Aug 12, 2026 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | YES | 64¢ | 83¢ | +29.7% | Day 7 · Aug 15, 2026 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? | YES | 72¢ | 100¢ | +38.9% | Resolution · Aug 12, 2026 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 66¢ | 71¢ | +7.6% | Day 7 · Aug 14, 2026 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | YES | 63¢ | 85¢ | +34.1% | Day 7 · Aug 14, 2026 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | NO | 40¢ | 89¢ | +122.5% | Day 7 · Aug 14, 2026 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? | YES | 70¢ | 100¢ | +42.9% | Resolution · Aug 12, 2026 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 82¢ | 84¢ | +1.8% | Day 7 · Aug 14, 2026 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 84¢ | 84¢ | −0.6% | Day 7 · Aug 13, 2026 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026? | YES | 74¢ | 88¢ | +18.2% | Day 7 · Aug 13, 2026 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | YES | 60¢ | 27¢ | −55.0% | Day 7 · Aug 13, 2026 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026? | YES | 74¢ | 88¢ | +18.2% | Day 7 · Aug 13, 2026 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | YES | 60¢ | 27¢ | −55.0% | Day 7 · Aug 13, 2026 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | YES | 28¢ | 54¢ | +92.3% | Day 7 · Aug 12, 2026 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | NO | 29¢ | 76¢ | +162.1% | Day 7 · Aug 12, 2026 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | NO | 66¢ | 77¢ | +15.9% | Day 7 · Aug 12, 2026 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | NO | 42¢ | 67¢ | +58.3% | Day 7 · Aug 10, 2026 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | YES | 64¢ | 59¢ | −8.6% | Day 7 · Aug 8, 2026 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | YES | 43¢ | 85¢ | +96.5% | Day 7 · Aug 8, 2026 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | YES | 56¢ | 50¢ | −10.7% | Day 7 · Aug 8, 2026 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | YES | 74¢ | 100¢ | +35.1% | Resolution · Aug 5, 2026 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? | NO | 32¢ | 1¢ | −97.3% | Day 7 · Aug 8, 2026 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | YES | 66¢ | 100¢ | +51.5% | Resolution · Aug 6, 2026 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | YES | 62¢ | 59¢ | −5.6% | Day 7 · Aug 7, 2026 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | NO | 50¢ | 28¢ | −45.0% | Day 7 · Aug 7, 2026 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | YES | 76¢ | 90¢ | +17.8% | Day 7 · Aug 7, 2026 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | YES | 60¢ | 80¢ | +32.5% | Day 7 · Aug 7, 2026 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | NO | 14¢ | 100¢ | +614.3% | Resolution · Aug 3, 2026 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | NO | 48¢ | 26¢ | −46.9% | Day 7 · Aug 6, 2026 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | YES | 83¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Jul 31, 2026 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | NO | 45¢ | 14¢ | −70.0% | Day 7 · Aug 6, 2026 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | YES | 72¢ | 90¢ | +24.3% | Day 7 · Aug 6, 2026 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | NO | 19¢ | 100¢ | +426.3% | Resolution · Aug 3, 2026 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | NO | 58¢ | 100¢ | +72.4% | Resolution · Aug 3, 2026 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | NO | 58¢ | 49¢ | −15.5% | Day 7 · Aug 5, 2026 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | YES | 22¢ | 85¢ | +284.1% | Day 7 · Aug 5, 2026 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | YES | 79¢ | 100¢ | +26.5% | Resolution · Aug 5, 2026 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | NO | 58¢ | 100¢ | +72.4% | Resolution · Aug 3, 2026 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | NO | 48¢ | 29¢ | −39.6% | Day 7 · Aug 5, 2026 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | YES | 22¢ | 80¢ | +261.4% | Day 7 · Aug 5, 2026 |
| Jul 28, 2026 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | NO | 38¢ | 33¢ | −13.2% | Day 7 · Aug 4, 2026 |
| Jul 28, 2026 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | NO | 48¢ | 46¢ | −4.2% | Day 7 · Aug 4, 2026 |
| Jul 28, 2026 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | NO | 44¢ | 22¢ | −48.9% | Day 7 · Aug 4, 2026 |
| Jul 28, 2026 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | YES | 64¢ | 82¢ | +28.1% | Day 7 · Aug 4, 2026 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | YES | 62¢ | 68¢ | +8.9% | Day 7 · Aug 2, 2026 |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | YES | 38¢ | 1¢ | −96.2% | Day 7 · Jul 31, 2026 |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | YES | 42¢ | 5¢ | −89.3% | Day 7 · Jul 31, 2026 |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? | YES | 70¢ | 100¢ | +42.9% | Resolution · Jul 29, 2026 |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | YES | 39¢ | 26¢ | −34.6% | Day 7 · Jul 31, 2026 |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | YES | 55¢ | 99¢ | +79.9% | Day 7 · Jul 31, 2026 |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? | YES | 60¢ | 100¢ | +66.7% | Resolution · Jul 29, 2026 |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | YES | 56¢ | 95¢ | +68.8% | Day 7 · Jul 30, 2026 |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | YES | 62¢ | 97¢ | +55.9% | Day 7 · Jul 30, 2026 |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting? | NO | 38¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Jul 24, 2026 |
| Jul 22, 2026 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31? | NO | 38¢ | 0¢ | −99.9% | Resolution · Jul 29, 2026 |
| Jul 21, 2026 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | NO | 52¢ | 41¢ | −22.1% | Day 7 · Jul 28, 2026 |
| Jul 21, 2026 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? | NO | 68¢ | 0¢ | −99.9% | Resolution · Jul 28, 2026 |
| Jul 20, 2026 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | NO | 41¢ | 31¢ | −25.6% | Day 7 · Jul 27, 2026 |
| Jul 20, 2026 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? | NO | 54¢ | 63¢ | +16.7% | Day 7 · Jul 27, 2026 |
| Jul 20, 2026 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | NO | 80¢ | 45¢ | −43.1% | Day 7 · Jul 27, 2026 |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | NO | 60¢ | 75¢ | +24.2% | Day 7 · Jul 27, 2026 |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | NO | 84¢ | 96¢ | +13.7% | Day 7 · Jul 27, 2026 |
| Jul 20, 2026 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | NO | 56¢ | 41¢ | −26.8% | Day 7 · Jul 27, 2026 |
| Jul 20, 2026 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | NO | 55¢ | 50¢ | −9.1% | Day 7 · Jul 27, 2026 |
| Jul 20, 2026 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | NO | 86¢ | 50¢ | −42.4% | Day 7 · Jul 27, 2026 |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | NO | 68¢ | 84¢ | +22.8% | Day 7 · Jul 27, 2026 |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | NO | 76¢ | 94¢ | +23.0% | Day 7 · Jul 27, 2026 |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | YES | 29¢ | 21¢ | −26.6% | Day 7 · Jul 26, 2026 |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | NO | 48¢ | 70¢ | +44.8% | Day 7 · Jul 26, 2026 |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | YES | 62¢ | 88¢ | +41.1% | Day 7 · Jul 26, 2026 |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Iran full airspace closure by July 24? | NO | 76¢ | 100¢ | +31.6% | Resolution · Jul 25, 2026 |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026? | NO | 57¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Jul 22, 2026 |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | YES | 74¢ | 100¢ | +34.9% | Resolution · Jul 26, 2026 |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | NO | 74¢ | 93¢ | +25.0% | Day 7 · Jul 26, 2026 |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | NO | 63¢ | 94¢ | +48.4% | Day 7 · Jul 26, 2026 |
| Jul 18, 2026 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | NO | 68¢ | 57¢ | −16.2% | Day 7 · Jul 25, 2026 |
| Jul 18, 2026 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | NO | 83¢ | 72¢ | −13.9% | Day 7 · Jul 25, 2026 |
| Jul 18, 2026 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | NO | 74¢ | 65¢ | −12.2% | Day 7 · Jul 25, 2026 |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | NO | 70¢ | 83¢ | +17.9% | Day 7 · Jul 25, 2026 |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | NO | 50¢ | 60¢ | +19.0% | Day 7 · Jul 25, 2026 |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | NO | 84¢ | 89¢ | +5.4% | Day 7 · Jul 25, 2026 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026? | NO | 18¢ | 16¢ | −12.8% | Day 7 · Jul 24, 2026 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | NO | 48¢ | 52¢ | +7.3% | Day 7 · Jul 24, 2026 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026? | NO | 48¢ | 100¢ | +108.3% | Resolution · Jul 23, 2026 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | NO | 56¢ | 81¢ | +44.6% | Day 7 · Jul 24, 2026 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | NO | 56¢ | 67¢ | +18.7% | Day 7 · Jul 24, 2026 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | YES | 49¢ | 19¢ | −60.9% | Day 7 · Jul 24, 2026 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | NO | 86¢ | 98¢ | +13.7% | Day 7 · Jul 24, 2026 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | NO | 72¢ | 72¢ | −0.7% | Day 7 · Jul 24, 2026 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | NO | 62¢ | 61¢ | −2.4% | Day 7 · Jul 24, 2026 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | YES | 60¢ | 79¢ | +30.8% | Day 7 · Jul 24, 2026 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026? | NO | 56¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Jul 23, 2026 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | NO | 66¢ | 67¢ | +0.8% | Day 7 · Jul 24, 2026 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | NO | 78¢ | 86¢ | +9.6% | Day 7 · Jul 24, 2026 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026? | NO | 40¢ | 100¢ | +150.0% | Resolution · Jul 23, 2026 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026? | YES | 42¢ | 1¢ | −98.8% | Resolution · Jul 23, 2026 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | NO | 56¢ | 54¢ | −3.6% | Day 7 · Jul 23, 2026 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | NO | 54¢ | 55¢ | +1.9% | Day 7 · Jul 23, 2026 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | NO | 76¢ | 95¢ | +24.3% | Day 7 · Jul 23, 2026 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | NO | 66¢ | 73¢ | +9.8% | Day 7 · Jul 23, 2026 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026? | YES | 34¢ | 10¢ | −72.1% | Day 7 · Jul 22, 2026 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | NO | 53¢ | 53¢ | +0.9% | Day 7 · Jul 22, 2026 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | NO | 54¢ | 57¢ | +6.5% | Day 7 · Jul 22, 2026 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | NO | 38¢ | 71¢ | +85.5% | Day 7 · Jul 22, 2026 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026? | YES | 36¢ | 33¢ | −8.3% | Day 7 · Jul 22, 2026 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | NO | 54¢ | 63¢ | +15.7% | Day 7 · Jul 22, 2026 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? | NO | 64¢ | 65¢ | +1.6% | Day 7 · Jul 22, 2026 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | YES | 23¢ | 11¢ | −54.3% | Day 7 · Jul 22, 2026 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? | NO | 45¢ | 56¢ | +25.6% | Day 7 · Jul 22, 2026 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | NO | 64¢ | 67¢ | +4.7% | Day 7 · Jul 22, 2026 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16? | YES | 27¢ | 100¢ | +270.4% | Resolution · Jul 17, 2026 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | NO | 44¢ | 54¢ | +23.9% | Day 7 · Jul 21, 2026 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026? | YES | 51¢ | 60¢ | +17.6% | Day 7 · Jul 21, 2026 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | YES | 36¢ | 12¢ | −65.7% | Day 7 · Jul 21, 2026 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? | YES | 20¢ | 12¢ | −39.0% | Day 7 · Jul 21, 2026 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | NO | 48¢ | 61¢ | +26.0% | Day 7 · Jul 21, 2026 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24? | NO | 78¢ | 97¢ | +24.7% | Day 7 · Jul 21, 2026 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | NO | 60¢ | 85¢ | +41.7% | Day 7 · Jul 21, 2026 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026? | YES | 42¢ | 50¢ | +19.0% | Day 7 · Jul 21, 2026 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting? | YES | 60¢ | 36¢ | −40.8% | Day 7 · Jul 21, 2026 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | NO | 74¢ | 92¢ | +23.6% | Day 7 · Jul 21, 2026 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | NO | 84¢ | 92¢ | +9.5% | Day 7 · Jul 21, 2026 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | NO | 78¢ | 88¢ | +12.2% | Day 7 · Jul 21, 2026 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | NO | 70¢ | 76¢ | +7.9% | Day 7 · Jul 21, 2026 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting? | NO | 62¢ | 36¢ | −41.9% | Day 7 · Jul 21, 2026 |
| Jul 13, 2026 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? | YES | 32¢ | 23¢ | −28.1% | Day 7 · Jul 20, 2026 |
| Jul 13, 2026 | Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13? | NO | 64¢ | 100¢ | +56.3% | Resolution · Jul 17, 2026 |
| Jul 13, 2026 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | NO | 58¢ | 64¢ | +9.5% | Day 7 · Jul 20, 2026 |
| Jul 13, 2026 | Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? | YES | 46¢ | 90¢ | +95.0% | Day 7 · Jul 20, 2026 |
| Jul 13, 2026 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | NO | 68¢ | 66¢ | −3.7% | Day 7 · Jul 20, 2026 |
| Jul 13, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | NO | 84¢ | 86¢ | +1.8% | Day 7 · Jul 20, 2026 |
| Jul 13, 2026 | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | NO | 64¢ | 92¢ | +43.0% | Day 7 · Jul 20, 2026 |
| Jul 13, 2026 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | NO | 78¢ | 82¢ | +4.5% | Day 7 · Jul 20, 2026 |
| Jul 13, 2026 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | NO | 62¢ | 83¢ | +33.9% | Day 7 · Jul 20, 2026 |
| Jul 13, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 55¢ | 56¢ | +2.7% | Day 7 · Jul 20, 2026 |
| Jul 13, 2026 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? | NO | 62¢ | 82¢ | +32.3% | Day 7 · Jul 20, 2026 |
| Jul 13, 2026 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | NO | 62¢ | 87¢ | +39.5% | Day 7 · Jul 20, 2026 |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026? | YES | 28¢ | 16¢ | −42.9% | Day 7 · Jul 19, 2026 |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? | NO | 36¢ | 78¢ | +115.3% | Day 7 · Jul 19, 2026 |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? | YES | 40¢ | 89¢ | +121.6% | Day 7 · Jul 19, 2026 |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | NO | 58¢ | 57¢ | −0.9% | Day 7 · Jul 19, 2026 |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | NO | 82¢ | 91¢ | +10.4% | Day 7 · Jul 19, 2026 |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | NO | 68¢ | 76¢ | +11.0% | Day 7 · Jul 19, 2026 |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? | NO | 44¢ | 43¢ | −3.4% | Day 7 · Jul 19, 2026 |
| Jul 12, 2026 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | NO | 65¢ | 72¢ | +10.0% | Day 7 · Jul 19, 2026 |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | NO | 75¢ | 72¢ | −4.0% | Day 7 · Jul 19, 2026 |
| Jul 12, 2026 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | NO | 84¢ | 89¢ | +5.4% | Day 7 · Jul 19, 2026 |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | NO | 68¢ | 93¢ | +36.0% | Day 7 · Jul 19, 2026 |
| Jul 12, 2026 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | NO | 70¢ | 90¢ | +27.9% | Day 7 · Jul 19, 2026 |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12? | NO | 76¢ | 0¢ | −100.0% | Resolution · Jul 12, 2026 |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | NO | 79¢ | 82¢ | +3.2% | Day 7 · Jul 18, 2026 |
| Jul 10, 2026 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | NO | 82¢ | 89¢ | +7.9% | Day 7 · Jul 17, 2026 |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | NO | 72¢ | 83¢ | +15.3% | Day 7 · Jul 15, 2026 |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | NO | 62¢ | 38¢ | −38.7% | Day 7 · Jul 15, 2026 |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | NO | 68¢ | 63¢ | −7.4% | Day 7 · Jul 15, 2026 |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | NO | 78¢ | 90¢ | +14.7% | Day 7 · Jul 14, 2026 |
| Jul 7, 2026 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | NO | 29¢ | 80¢ | +174.1% | Day 7 · Jul 14, 2026 |
| Jul 6, 2026 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | 56¢ | 55¢ | −2.7% | Day 7 · Jul 13, 2026 |
| Jul 6, 2026 | Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026? | YES | 50¢ | 35¢ | −30.0% | Day 7 · Jul 13, 2026 |
| Jul 4, 2026 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | NO | 52¢ | 63¢ | +20.2% | Day 7 · Jul 11, 2026 |
| Jul 2, 2026 | GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026? | NO | 18¢ | 100¢ | +455.6% | Resolution · Jul 9, 2026 |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | NO | 69¢ | 96¢ | +38.4% | Day 7 · Jul 8, 2026 |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | NO | 69¢ | 96¢ | +38.4% | Day 7 · Jul 8, 2026 |
| Jun 30, 2026 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | NO | 54¢ | 54¢ | +0.9% | Day 7 · Jul 7, 2026 |
| Jun 30, 2026 | GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026? | NO | 53¢ | 91¢ | +71.7% | Day 7 · Jul 7, 2026 |
| Jun 29, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | NO | 59¢ | 88¢ | +48.3% | Day 7 · Jul 6, 2026 |
| Jun 29, 2026 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | NO | 56¢ | 67¢ | +18.7% | Day 7 · Jul 6, 2026 |
Method
Each published Signal receives an equal $100 paper stake at its published side price. The paper position closes after seven days, or when the market resolves sooner. Returns are gross and exclude fees, bid-ask spread, slippage, taxes, position limits, venue access, and fill availability.
Simulated paper returns do not represent actual trading and do not account for fees, liquidity, slippage, or actual fills; your results may differ.