Concepts

Quotient forecasts prediction markets and publishes a signal when its forecast and the market price disagree on a market that resolves soon.

Asset. A tradable underlying, such as WTI, gold, or BTC.

Market. A prediction-market contract with a venue price.

Forecast. Quotient's probability for a market and its nullable thesis—the reasoning for that same forecast version.

Signal. A published trade on the side Q favors, held until the venue settles the market. A market qualifies when it resolves within 7 days, that side costs under 70¢, and the gap to Q clears its category's minimum, 5 points for sports, 10 for events and 15 for commodities. Non-sports event favorites can qualify up to 14 days out at 50¢ to under 70¢ with a gap of 10 to under 30 points. Each event gets one signal. Its latest Q probability and thesis come from the same latest forecast. Entry values are fixed at publication; status and returns update with the market.

GET /api/v1/assets/search
GET /api/v1/markets/search
GET /api/v1/markets/{slug}/forecast
GET /api/v1/signals

API reference